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AdrianCronauer

0xf9c1190aa8184bcbe418e6f5321c53b0bfbc39e2

⚠️ SUSPECT   auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation

Lifetime buys: $3,669,325 · Topical: $3,267,869 (89%) · Big buys (≥$5k): 139 · Largest: $161,223 · Fingerprint: pure_war_specialist (realized WR unknown — settled-trade calc pending) · Added 05-18 22:56 · Last seen 05-20 14:02

Auto-Evaluation (05-20 12:43)

Total recent trades297 Distinct markets47
Total buys$3,669,325 Largest single buy$161,223
Topical (war/politics)$3,267,869 Topical share89%
Big buys (≥$5k)139 Fingerprintpure_war_specialist

Recent Signals on this wallet

TimeMarketSideSizeStatus
05-20 14:02 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $524 open
05-20 13:47 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.979 $11,767 open
05-20 13:46 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.979 $11,767 open
05-20 13:43 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $524 open
05-20 12:48 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $1,119 open
05-20 12:45 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.932 $7,866 open
05-20 12:43 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.970 $303 open
05-20 12:43 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.932 $7,866 open
05-20 12:43 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.980 $1,723 open
05-20 12:42 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $1,119 open
05-20 12:42 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.980 $1,723 open
05-20 12:41 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.970 $303 open
05-19 22:52 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.983 $21,750 open
05-19 22:46 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.983 $21,750 open
05-19 22:21 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.933 $5,749 open
05-19 22:20 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $728 open
05-19 22:17 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.933 $5,749 open
05-19 22:16 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $1,309 open
05-19 22:15 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $1,309 open
05-19 22:15 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.960 $10,480 open
05-19 22:15 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $728 open
05-19 22:14 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.960 $10,480 open
05-19 15:22 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.968 $43,491 open
05-19 07:17 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $11,492 historical
05-19 06:35 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.941 $9,968 historical
05-19 06:25 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? NO @ $0.930 $9,814 historical
05-19 06:25 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.920 $28,207 historical
05-18 22:56 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.937 $20,996 historical
05-18 19:21 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.944 $9,760 historical

Post-bet market drift (in whale's favor) — + means market moved toward whale's side

TimeSide @ entrySizeMarket+30m+1h+4h+24h
05-20 14:02 NO @ $0.850 $524 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? +1.5%
$0.865
05-20 13:47 NO @ $0.979 $11,767 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? -0.0%
$0.979
05-20 13:46 NO @ $0.979 $11,767 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? -0.0%
$0.979
05-20 13:43 NO @ $0.850 $524 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? +1.5%
$0.865
05-20 12:48 NO @ $0.890 $1,119 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.895
+0.5%
$0.895
05-20 12:45 NO @ $0.932 $7,866 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? +0.4%
$0.936
+0.8%
$0.940
05-20 12:43 NO @ $0.970 $303 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? +0.3%
$0.974
+0.5%
$0.975
05-20 12:43 NO @ $0.932 $7,866 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? +0.4%
$0.936
+0.8%
$0.940
05-20 12:43 NO @ $0.980 $1,723 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? +0.1%
$0.982
+0.1%
$0.982
05-20 12:42 NO @ $0.890 $1,119 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.895
+0.5%
$0.895
05-20 12:42 NO @ $0.980 $1,723 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? +0.1%
$0.982
+0.1%
$0.982
05-20 12:41 NO @ $0.970 $303 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? +0.3%
$0.974
+0.5%
$0.975
05-19 22:52 NO @ $0.983 $21,750 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? -0.9%
$0.973
-1.0%
$0.973
-0.1%
$0.982
05-19 22:46 NO @ $0.983 $21,750 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? -0.9%
$0.973
-1.0%
$0.973
-0.1%
$0.982
05-19 22:21 NO @ $0.933 $5,749 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? +0.6%
$0.939
+0.5%
$0.938
-0.5%
$0.928
05-19 22:20 NO @ $0.820 $728 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.5%
$0.825
0.0%
$0.820
+0.5%
$0.825
05-19 22:17 NO @ $0.933 $5,749 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? +0.6%
$0.939
+0.5%
$0.938
-0.5%
$0.928
05-19 22:16 NO @ $0.820 $1,309 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
05-19 22:15 NO @ $0.820 $1,309 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? +0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
+0.5%
$0.825
05-19 22:15 NO @ $0.960 $10,480 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? +1.1%
$0.971
+0.0%
$0.960
+0.2%
$0.962
05-19 22:15 NO @ $0.820 $728 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? +0.5%
$0.825
0.0%
$0.820
+0.5%
$0.825
05-19 22:14 NO @ $0.960 $10,480 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? +1.1%
$0.971
+0.0%
$0.960
+0.2%
$0.962
05-19 15:22 NO @ $0.968 $43,491 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? +0.2%
$0.970
+0.3%
$0.971
+0.6%
$0.974
05-19 07:17 NO @ $0.850 $11,492 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? -3.0%
$0.820
-3.0%
$0.820
-3.0%
$0.820
-3.0%
$0.820
05-19 06:35 NO @ $0.941 $9,968 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? -0.6%
$0.935
-0.6%
$0.935
-0.6%
$0.935
-1.6%
$0.925
05-19 06:25 NO @ $0.930 $9,814 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? -3.5%
$0.895
-3.5%
$0.895
-3.5%
$0.895
-3.5%
$0.895
05-19 06:25 NO @ $0.920 $28,207 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? +1.5%
$0.935
+1.5%
$0.935
+1.5%
$0.935
+1.5%
$0.935
05-18 22:56 NO @ $0.937 $20,996 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? -0.2%
$0.935
-0.2%
$0.935
-0.2%
$0.935
+2.5%
$0.962
05-18 19:21 NO @ $0.944 $9,760 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? -0.9%
$0.935
-0.9%
$0.935
-0.9%
$0.935
-0.9%
$0.935

Paper trades following this whale

OpenedMarketEntrySizeP&LStatus
05-20 15:14 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? YES @ $0.255 $20 $+0.78 closed_win
05-20 12:45 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.929 $20 $-0.31 open
05-20 12:42 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $20 $-1.34 closed_loss
05-20 12:41 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.969 $20 $-0.53 open
05-20 11:11 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $25 $-1.83 closed_loss
05-20 11:11 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $25 $-2.59 closed_loss
05-20 11:11 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.968 $25 $-1.26 closed_loss
05-20 11:11 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $25 $-1.47 closed_loss
05-20 11:11 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.941 $25 $-0.69 closed_manual
05-20 11:11 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? NO @ $0.930 $25 $-1.88 closed_loss
05-20 11:11 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.920 $25 $+0.64 closed_manual
05-19 22:46 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.980 $20 $+0.02 closed_time
05-19 22:20 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.815 $20 $+0.25 closed_time
05-19 22:17 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.932 $20 $-0.10 closed_time
05-19 22:16 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.815 $20 $+0.25 closed_time
05-19 22:14 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.945 $20 $+0.35 closed_time