๐Ÿ‹ Whale Tracker

Auto-refresh 60s ยท DB: /home/trbck/workspace/oddsoddy/strategies/whale_tracker/whale_tracker.db ยท Retro analysis โ†’

Open Signals
80
Watchlist
37
Paper Open / Closed
18 / 38
Paper Real WR
63%
Total Paper P&L
$+56.60
Open P&L
$+1.66

Tier Efficacy post-signal market drift in whale's favor โ€” empirical predictive power per tier

+1h drift
TiernAvg %% Fav
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS90+3.83%60%
๐Ÿ‹ BIG BUY90+0.40%57%
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT35+0.25%77%
๐Ÿ†• NEW102-0.06%49%
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO65-0.82%42%
+24h drift (smaller sample)
TiernAvg %% Fav
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS15+1.86%40%
๐Ÿ‹ BIG BUY32+0.64%59%
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT9+0.16%56%
๐Ÿ†• NEW67-0.90%43%
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO23-5.64%17%

๐Ÿค– Auto-Trader (Go binary, tier-aware rules) politics_specialist/insider_* โ†’ BUY; large_buy/pro_* โ†’ SKIP ๐ŸŒŠ Drift Bot A/B โ†’

Positions
StateCount
Open5
Wins (TP)17
Losses (SL)1
Time-stops10
P&L (auto only)
BucketUSD
Open (unrealized)$-0.58
Realized (closed)$+61.83
Total$+61.25
By tier
TierOpenW/LP&L
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS115/0$+57.15
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT42/1$+4.10

๐Ÿ”ฅ Hot Markets โ€” Whale Convergence โ‰ฅ2 whales same side in last 6h

MarketSideWhalesTotal $NamesLast signal
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?YES4 whales ยท 22 trades$140,426MisTKy,mombil,GGWPGL,Arbguy05-20 14:28trade โ†’
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YES4 whales ยท 10 trades$50,430Flipadelphia,MisTKy,Erasmus.,Arbguy05-20 14:28trade โ†’
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?NO3 whales ยท 5 trades$56,262Tigerofthehood,debased,stupid2205-20 14:39trade โ†’
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?YES3 whales ยท 5 trades$46,692classified,denizz,0xacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab3505-20 14:31trade โ†’
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?NO3 whales ยท 6 trades$46,017wan123,eightpenguins,debased05-20 14:28trade โ†’
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YES2 whales ยท 12 trades$56,308MisTKy,mombil05-20 14:21trade โ†’
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?YES2 whales ยท 8 trades$54,633MisTKy,classified05-20 14:18trade โ†’
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NO2 whales ยท 8 trades$49,878strike123,mombil05-20 14:23trade โ†’
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?NO2 whales ยท 6 trades$41,268desibond,wubddh05-20 09:58trade โ†’

Live Signals click ๐Ÿ“ Paper to track as paper trade

TimeTierWhaleMarketSideTheir BetReal CopyPaper CopyActions
05-20 14:39 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22
0x8afa03dd6974โ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NO @ $0.950 $1,114 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 14:29 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.220 $2,810 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:28 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.370 $3,735 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:28 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.145 $2,859 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:28 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.165 $3,252 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:23 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.346 $9,264 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:23 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.360 $9,649 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:23 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.165 $3,252 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:21 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.346 $9,264 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:21 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.360 $9,649 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:21 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.370 $3,735 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:21 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.244 $11,129 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:18 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.244 $11,129 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:18 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.145 $2,859 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:02 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $524 Poly $10 NO โ†’
05-20 14:02 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $3,153 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:02 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $1,500 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:01 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $1,500 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 14:00 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $3,153 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 13:47 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.979 $11,767 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 13:46 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.979 $11,767 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 13:43 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $524 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 13:15 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $388 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 13:15 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $388 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 13:09 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $476 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 13:05 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $1,824 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 13:04 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $476 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 13:04 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $1,824 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 12:48 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $1,119 Poly $11 NO โ†’
05-20 12:45 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.932 $7,866 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 12:43 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.970 $303 Poly $10 NO โ†’
05-20 12:43 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.932 $7,866 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 12:43 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.980 $1,723 Poly $17 NO โ†’
05-20 12:42 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.890 $1,119 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 12:42 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.980 $1,723 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 12:41 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.970 $303 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 11:03 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.200 $1,536 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 11:00 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.410 $5,155 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 11:00 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.410 $5,155 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 11:00 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.200 $1,536 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 11:00 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.310 $3,194 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 10:59 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.310 $3,194 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:47 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $4,368 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:46 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $4,368 Poly $25 YES โ†’ PAPER ON ยท $+9.87 (+39.5%)
05-20 09:36 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $6,022 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:36 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $12,281 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:34 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.390 $7,981 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:34 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.400 $6,507 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:33 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.290 $6,022 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:33 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.300 $12,281 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:31 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.390 $7,981 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:31 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.400 $6,507 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:15 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Flipadelphia
0x448861155279โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.110 $220 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 09:06 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Flipadelphia
0x448861155279โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.110 $220 Poly $25 YES โ†’ PAPER ON ยท $-3.41 (-13.6%)
05-20 08:54 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? YES @ $0.479 $1,198 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 08:54 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? YES @ $0.490 $2,938 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 08:54 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $9,000 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 08:51 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $9,000 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 08:49 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? NO @ $0.991 $19,820 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 08:48 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? YES @ $0.479 $1,198 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 08:48 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? YES @ $0.490 $2,938 Poly $25 YES โ†’
05-20 08:48 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? NO @ $0.991 $19,820 Poly $25 NO โ†’ PAPER ON ยท $-0.01 (-0.1%)
05-20 07:41 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Anon (0x8fefโ€ฆa787)
0x8fef9fd8a787โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? NO @ $0.870 $9,988 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 07:36 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Anon (0x8fefโ€ฆa787)
0x8fef9fd8a787โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? NO @ $0.870 $9,988 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 05:05 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22
0x8afa03dd6974โ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NO @ $0.820 $3,964 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 05:00 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22
0x8afa03dd6974โ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NO @ $0.820 $3,964 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 01:50 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS jimbobianthethird
0x61e7e940dc61โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? NO @ $0.860 $4,000 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 01:50 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser
0x1dd197fa8bb4โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $1,491 Poly $15 NO โ†’
05-20 01:49 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser
0x1dd197fa8bb4โ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $1,491 Poly $25 NO โ†’ PAPER ON ยท $-1.81 (-7.2%)
05-20 01:49 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS jimbobianthethird
0x61e7e940dc61โ€ฆ
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? NO @ $0.860 $4,000 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 00:58 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT millanos
0x7511ec2fa81dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $14,070 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 00:58 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT millanos
0x7511ec2fa81dโ€ฆ
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $14,070 Poly $25 NO โ†’ PAPER ON ยท $-1.81 (-7.2%)
05-20 00:11 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS SAPolitcsSeer
0xa30e451354cbโ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? NO @ $0.986 $371 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-20 00:05 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS SAPolitcsSeer
0xa30e451354cbโ€ฆ
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? NO @ $0.986 $371 Poly $25 NO โ†’ PAPER ON ยท $+0.11 (+0.5%)
05-19 23:03 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.810 $81 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-19 23:03 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.810 $162 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-19 23:03 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.810 $108 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-19 22:59 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.810 $81 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-19 22:59 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.810 $162 Poly $25 NO โ†’
05-19 22:59 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.810 $108 Poly $25 NO โ†’

Open Paper Trades 18 open ยท MTM $+1.66

OpenedSrcTierWhaleMarketSideExpiresWhale paidEntry โ†’ NowSizeUnrealized
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO 40d
2026-06-30
$0.760
slip 0.000
$0.760 โ†’ $0.770 $20 $+0.26
+1.3%
โ†“7.2pp from peak +8.6%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot โš ๏ธ SUSPECT EB99999 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO 10d
2026-05-31
$0.860
slip 0.000
$0.860 โ†’ $0.845 $25 $-0.44
-1.7%
โ†“7.0pp from peak +5.2%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO 1.4d
2026-05-22
$0.920
slip 0.000
$0.920 โ†’ $0.931 $25 $+0.30
+1.2%
โ†“5.3pp from peak +6.5%
05-20 12:41 ๐Ÿค– auto_go โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? NO 1.4d
2026-05-22
โ€” $0.969 โ†’ $0.931 $20 $-0.78
-3.9%
โ†“5.1pp from peak +1.1%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO 1.4d
2026-05-22
$0.964
slip 0.000
$0.964 โ†’ $0.934 $25 $-0.77
-3.1%
โ†“4.9pp from peak +1.8%
05-20 12:45 ๐Ÿค– auto_go โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO 10d
2026-05-31
โ€” $0.929 โ†’ $0.906 $20 $-0.49
-2.5%
โ†“4.2pp from peak +1.8%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? NO 10d
2026-05-31
$0.941
slip 0.000
$0.941 โ†’ $0.906 $25 $-0.92
-3.7%
โ†“4.2pp from peak +0.5%
05-20 14:18 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS (auto:geopolitics) Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO 224d
2026-12-31
$0.710
slip -0.035
$0.675 โ†’ $0.745 $25 $+2.59
+10.4%
โ†“1.5pp from peak +11.9%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS (auto:geopolitics) Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? NO 224d
2026-12-31
$0.710
slip 0.000
$0.710 โ†’ $0.745 $20 $+0.99
+4.9%
โ†“1.4pp from peak +6.3%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS SAPolitcsSeer Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? NO 40d
2026-06-30
$0.953
slip 0.000
$0.953 โ†’ $0.947 $25 $-0.17
-0.7%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? NO 10d
2026-05-31
$0.991
slip 0.000
$0.991 โ†’ $0.991 $25 $-0.01
-0.1%
05-20 14:48 ๐Ÿค– auto_go โš ๏ธ SUSPECT EB99999 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO 10d
2026-05-31
โ€” $0.835 โ†’ $0.845 $20 $+0.24
+1.2%
05-20 14:39 ๐Ÿค– auto_go ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NO 40d
2026-06-30
โ€” $0.945 โ†’ $0.955 $25 $+0.26
+1.1%
05-20 14:52 ๐Ÿค– auto_go โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO 1.4d
2026-05-22
โ€” $0.925 โ†’ $0.934 $20 $+0.19
+1.0%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? NO 224d
2026-12-31
$0.820
slip 0.000
$0.820 โ†’ $0.825 $25 $+0.15
+0.6%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NO 40d
2026-06-30
$0.950
slip 0.000
$0.950 โ†’ $0.955 $25 $+0.13
+0.5%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS SAPolitcsSeer Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? NO 10d
2026-05-31
$0.986
slip 0.000
$0.986 โ†’ $0.991 $25 $+0.11
+0.5%
05-20 11:11 โœ‹ drift_bot ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS SAPolitcsSeer Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? NO 10d
2026-05-31
$0.990
slip 0.000
$0.990 โ†’ $0.990 $25 $+0.00
+0.0%

Watchlist 37 suspects

TierWalletSig 24hUSD 24hLast signalLifetime P&LWRNote / Auto-Eval
๐Ÿ”ฅ INSIDER truthlord
0xa3a6fa49a39aโ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $387 100% 100% WR / +$61k / war-market specialist; first trade 2025-06-09
๐Ÿ”ฅ INSIDER PorcoRosso
0xd5de5cad9ef2โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $40,067 100% 100% WR / +$125k / active only 10 days around Iran strike; first trade 2025-06-12
๐Ÿ”ฅ INSIDER ILOVEYOUBABYZZ
0x909fa9f89976โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€” 100% WR / +$143k / Israel-Iran-Yemen-Lebanon specialist; first trade 2025-06-12, big $158k buy ~90min after Iran strike
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer
0xf9c1190aa818โ€ฆ
23 $170,125 05-20 14:02 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
89% topical ยท $3,267,869 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy
0x53e55bc7cb3dโ€ฆ
9 $62,535 05-20 14:29 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
82% topical ยท $2,168,210 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT okcoolstorybro
0x122cdd9db64fโ€ฆ
1 $45,263 05-20 06:28 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from large_buy after evaluation
95% topical ยท $2,581,751 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT millanos
0x7511ec2fa81dโ€ฆ
2 $28,139 05-20 00:58 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
91% topical ยท $74,854 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser
0x1dd197fa8bb4โ€ฆ
5 $3,574 05-20 01:50 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
94% topical ยท $148,181 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT (pseudonym)
0x0f006b1e01ddโ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $4,361 33% First trade 4min after ILOVEYOUBABYZZ on 2025-06-12; likely coordinated
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT EB99999
0x5d0f03cf1243โ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-19 09:06 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
97% topical ยท $639,638 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT tooy5245
0xc15b833b6991โ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-19 06:51 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
94% topical ยท $439,326 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT cezarn132
0x5f176a980de5โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $29,069 100% auto-added: geopolitics WR=100.0% closed=16 pnl=$29,069
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT SlavaUkraini
0xe899b5ea69afโ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $45,940 100% auto-added: geopolitics WR=100.0% closed=18 pnl=$45,940
โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Castwolffox
0x612b36dc9ab6โ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-18 22:12 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
98% topical ยท $207,286 buys ยท pure_war_specialist
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy
0x35bbbad2415fโ€ฆ
46 $186,445 05-20 14:28 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
73% topical ยท $809,082 buys ยท topical_heavy
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster
0xbc43a2f0deb8โ€ฆ
10 $76,461 05-20 08:54 $37,883 57% auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
80% topical ยท $1,076,471 buys ยท topical_heavy
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Anon (0x8fefโ€ฆa787)
0x8fef9fd8a787โ€ฆ
4 $59,982 05-20 07:41 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
71% topical ยท $116,827 buys ยท topical_heavy
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS jimbobianthethird
0x61e7e940dc61โ€ฆ
4 $22,800 05-20 01:50 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
55% topical ยท $138,620 buys ยท topical_mixed
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS powangly
0x09a5d3b75f90โ€ฆ
2 $19,600 05-19 21:12 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
70% topical ยท $201,209 buys ยท topical_heavy
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew
0xc96e5287ab29โ€ฆ
19 $10,936 05-19 23:03 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
50% topical ยท $375,075 buys ยท topical_mixed
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS stupid22
0x8afa03dd6974โ€ฆ
3 $9,042 05-20 14:39 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
60% topical ยท $871,644 buys ยท topical_heavy
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS SAPolitcsSeer
0xa30e451354cbโ€ฆ
2 $742 05-20 00:11 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
53% topical ยท $634,913 buys ยท topical_mixed
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Flipadelphia
0x448861155279โ€ฆ
3 $459 05-20 09:15 $25,235 95% auto-added: geopolitics WR=95.5% closed=22 pnl=$25,235
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS burrito338
0x1489046ca0f9โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $3,694 62% 100% WR / +$72k on 23 political positions; Judy Shelton, Lee Jun-seok, Iranian regime, Zelenskyy suit, Maduro
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Osienn
0x4f51bd37e067โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€” 100% WR / +$141k / politics; bet Kamala=NO ahead of 2024 election
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Anon (0x97cfโ€ฆc6eb)
0x97cf8743ddf3โ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-19 06:51 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
74% topical ยท $67,389 buys ยท topical_heavy
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Winninghumbly
0x9a4a4764d109โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $25,560 98% auto-added: politics WR=97.5% closed=40 pnl=$25,560
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Trump2028
0x2e0b70d482e6โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $39,436 95% auto-added: politics WR=95.2% closed=63 pnl=$39,436
๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Mike888-247
0x23f21995b500โ€ฆ
0 โ€” โ€” $52,248 96% auto-added: politics WR=96.0% closed=25 pnl=$52,248
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO NotBakerMcKenzie
0xd99f3bec8e06โ€ฆ
2 $106,524 05-19 19:43 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
29% topical ยท $2,427,530 buys ยท big_buyer_diverse
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO strike123
0xf284ad6d607fโ€ฆ
26 $103,473 05-20 14:13 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
13% topical ยท $122,894 buys ยท big_buyer_diverse
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO Dafu0715
0x93511d72d294โ€ฆ
18 $64,609 05-20 13:27 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
35% topical ยท $548,527 buys ยท topical_mixed
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO SaylorMoon
0xecb14ac6e9caโ€ฆ
2 $927 05-20 14:34 โ€” โ€” +$319k lifetime / 60% WR / 28k trades โ€” professional, currently on Trump-Iran-with-Xi
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO Dropper
0x6bab41a0dc40โ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-18 19:21 $-1,698 54% +$528k / 70% WR / 11k trades โ€” pro; $40k on Iran-Friday
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO cocos228
0x8e5c0cc55cdaโ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-19 09:22 $-26,653 40% +$534k lifetime / 66% WR / 1.2k trades โ€” high-volume professional, currently on US-invade-Iran
๐Ÿ’ผ PRO QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4919de76eโ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-18 23:35 โ€” โ€” auto-upgraded from new_wallet_pattern after evaluation
50% topical ยท $250,223 buys ยท topical_mixed
๐Ÿ“ฐ NEWS BOT aenews2
0x44c1dfe43260โ€ฆ
0 โ€” 05-19 09:51 $697 67% +$1.39M / 70% WR / news-monitoring trader; loaded $69k on Iran-Friday during strike window

Markets Currently Watched

TitleYES24h VolExpires

Closed Paper Trades

ClosedTierWhaleMarketEntrySizeP&LResult
05-20 14:53 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $25 $-1.83 โŒ loss
05-20 14:49 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.068 $20 $+2.67 โœ… win
05-20 14:39 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Anon (0x8fefโ€ฆa787) US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.972 $25 $-1.36 โŒ loss
05-20 14:39 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? NO @ $0.968 $25 $-1.26 โŒ loss
05-20 14:36 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT Arbguy Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.175 $20 $+2.86 โœ… win
05-20 14:36 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? NO @ $0.850 $25 $-1.47 โŒ loss
05-20 14:30 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? NO @ $0.930 $25 $-1.88 โŒ loss
05-20 14:24 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.195 $25 $+8.97 โœ… win
05-20 14:24 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $25 $+9.87 โœ… win
05-20 14:24 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.820 $25 $-2.59 โŒ loss
05-20 14:24 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.095 $25 $+18.42 โœ… win
05-20 14:24 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT AdrianCronauer US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $20 $-1.34 โŒ loss
05-20 14:24 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT newnewuser US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $25 $-1.81 โŒ loss
05-20 14:24 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT millanos US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.900 $25 $-1.81 โŒ loss
05-20 14:24 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.880 $25 $-1.28 โŒ loss
05-20 14:21 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.285 $25 $+7.46 โœ… win
05-20 14:04 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.185 $25 $+1.35 โœ… win
05-20 13:57 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Flipadelphia US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.110 $25 $-3.41 โŒ loss
05-20 13:16 ๐Ÿ†• NEW BarakRavid Iran closes its airspace by May 24? NO @ $0.725 $25 $-0.69 closed_time
05-20 13:16 ๐Ÿ‹ BIG BUY mr.ozi Iran closes its airspace by May 21? NO @ $0.905 $25 $-0.83 closed_time
05-20 13:16 ๐Ÿ†• NEW Wogg US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $25 $+0.00 closed_time
05-20 13:15 ๐Ÿ†• NEW westminster US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $25 $+0.00 closed_time
05-20 13:15 ๐Ÿ†• NEW westminster US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $25 $+0.00 closed_time
05-20 13:09 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.185 $25 $+1.35 โœ… win
05-20 11:46 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.305 $25 $+1.64 โœ… win
05-20 11:19 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.405 $25 $+1.23 โœ… win
05-20 11:16 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS (auto:geopolitics) Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? YES @ $0.060 $25 $-12.50 โŒ loss
05-20 11:16 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Flipadelphia Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? NO @ $0.722 $20 $+7.12 โœ… win
05-20 11:16 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT EB99999 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NO @ $0.860 $25 $-1.89 โŒ loss
05-20 11:16 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS wigglew Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31? NO @ $0.800 $25 $+5.50 โœ… win
05-20 11:11 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.190 $25 $+1.97 โœ… win
05-20 10:58 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? YES @ $0.385 $25 $+1.30 โœ… win
05-20 10:53 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Flipadelphia US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? YES @ $0.105 $25 $+2.38 โœ… win
05-20 10:53 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? YES @ $0.185 $25 $+1.35 โœ… win
05-20 10:51 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $25 $+0.00 closed_time
05-20 09:35 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS MisTKy US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? YES @ $0.285 $25 $+1.75 โœ… win
05-20 08:54 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS Anon (0x8fefโ€ฆa787) Iran closes its airspace by May 21? NO @ $0.865 $25 $+1.16 โœ… win
05-20 08:51 ๐ŸŽฏ POLITICS westminster Iran closes its airspace by May 31? YES @ $0.465 $25 $+1.08 โœ… win
05-20 08:25 ๐Ÿ‹ BIG BUY douya-150 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? YES @ $0.649 $25 $+0.29 closed_time
05-20 07:29 โš ๏ธ SUSPECT EB99999 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? NO @ $0.895 $25 $+0.00 closed_time