Smart Flow

Signal: Elite-wallet net USD flow vs price divergence (≥$5k, ≥2 elites)

Open 0Closed 37Wins 15 / Losses 22Win rate 41%Realized P&L $-66.31

Closed (30 most recent — clean / bug-excluded)

market_title	side	entry_price	exit_price	pnl	exit_time
Paris: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva	NO	0.165	0.9995	-25.425757575757583	2026-05-16T15:13:50.770550+00:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	NO	0.375	0.8925	-18.476666666666663	2026-05-15T19:32:51.251479+00:00
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	NO	0.5549999999999999	0.355	2.972972972972979	2026-05-14T03:14:34.614659+00:00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	NO	0.345	0.815	-12.362318840579707	2026-05-14T02:03:49.219943+00:00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	NO	0.13499999999999998	0.975	-20.96296296296296	2026-05-13T01:14:33.858916+00:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	YES	0.715	0.525	-7.51048951048951	2026-05-12T15:26:39.758249+00:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	NO	0.905	0.024	0.922099447513812	2026-05-12T08:21:48.246291+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	NO	0.8775000000000001	0.0165	1.9595441595441585	2026-05-11T22:45:11.250837+00:00
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	NO	0.525		21.166666666666664	2026-05-11T22:45:10.947690+00:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	0.13999999999999999	0.115	-5.3749999999999964	2026-05-10T22:40:27.586396+00:00
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	NO	0.585	0.705	-13.145299145299143	2026-05-10T21:19:15.856830+00:00
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	NO	0.24499999999999997	0.885	-13.999999999999998	2026-05-10T19:17:30.805672+00:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	0.13	0.135	-0.05769230769231015	2026-05-10T18:57:10.973532+00:00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	NO	0.525	0.665	-9.866666666666669	2026-05-10T18:16:37.146509+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	NO	0.841	0.142	-0.5047562425683694	2026-05-10T03:45:53.968410+00:00
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	NO	0.265	0.825	-9.320754716981131	2026-05-10T00:33:57.053935+00:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	NO	0.855	0.085	0.7192982456140342	2026-05-09T13:54:58.542470+00:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptiste	NO	0.635		13.082677165354333	2026-05-08T23:05:29.218233+00:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristian	NO	0.48	0.565	-3.2968749999999964	2026-05-08T20:01:49.804870+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	YES	0.2115	0.1795	-4.706855791962177	2026-05-08T15:38:18.394109+00:00
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	YES	0.915	0.95	-0.06284153005464788	2026-05-08T15:18:01.701929+00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	NO	0.535	0.865	-19.317757009345794	2026-05-08T14:27:21.333917+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	YES	0.125	0.105	-4.920000000000002	2026-05-08T06:52:00.722460+00:00
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	NO	0.535	0.765	-14.738317757009346	2026-05-07T23:36:33.848991+00:00
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	NO	0.685		10.266423357664227	2026-05-07T21:23:30.123320+00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	NO	0.5025		24.003731343283583	2026-05-07T17:29:26.036016+00:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	NO	0.585		16.38034188034188	2026-05-07T15:58:11.068166+00:00
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	NO	0.6974999999999999		10.233870967741943	2026-05-07T04:56:47.645855+00:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	NO	0.7575		7.423267326732677	2026-05-07T04:56:47.432247+00:00
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals	NO	0.41500000000000004		33.53614457831325	2026-05-07T02:14:47.038588+00:00

Scan log (30 most recent)

scanned_at	market_id	market_title	side	net_usd	n_elites	price_change	decision	reason
2026-05-16T15:03:50.646909+00:00	0xa4d649835092ad0c01fbda4906fe35576e62f80fc46668cb800d1a875a1480b2	Paris: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtseva	NO	-7241.7331	2	0.565	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-15T19:22:50.649730+00:00	0x6182a59d2510351478c7da402dbf656c9c15acac738c3d4c70b37d164b336d69	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	NO	-15539.338569999998	2	-0.02500021780007411	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-15T18:32:46.521189+00:00	0xbfe3760180616226c58d18c91bf8b9537331cb457515d274cd094520b9aec866	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	YES	113445.83949999999	5	0.12	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-14T18:50:54.460257+00:00	0x925fca1b0552f4fe6bcf74074137e8f5a2084a427097814f96eb7ba721880e54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	NO	-8666.6	2	-0.175	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-14T02:44:16.267682+00:00	0x72bb3165cf1a35f435c6b8dc9694866072efc1a3c1acc76514280d3c5cc4ba35	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	NO	-8538.529998000002	3	0.10500000000000004	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-14T01:53:43.314088+00:00	0xe6e708f73712c323e4e7e920b89fec1afb60c3159db5cd9a26947cb395bc1d95	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	NO	-9476.013599999998	3	0.07500000000000007	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-13T20:18:59.571481+00:00	0x2c4870e8d0715df7f195e7d254b4eab6f4c00dec384f126ecdd06590424c88f2	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	NO	-8113.422495	3	-0.09499999999999997	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-13T01:04:28.462937+00:00	0x56a7dd4faeed49a56c6ceb21031a881a3241232d0541a037542715a21b4802cc	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	NO	-5952.238600000001	2	0.06499999999999995	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-12T09:52:46.600117+00:00	0xc59fc7f4b20440594a45411b5abf71e47b73227b9951b7bb60edd773d6e02258	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud	NO	-6142.7386	2	-0.16500008190003032	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-12T08:52:08.722021+00:00	0x4495596ef99ce27149438102ea678eaba0c46053ce37abda7140680cc84b13ad	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	YES	13932.377900000001	2	0.014540884256921127	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-10T22:40:28.854402+00:00	0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	NO	-18712.1387	3	-0.135	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-10T22:30:21.085575+00:00	0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	NO	-19022.1387	3	-0.15801880000000001	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-10T22:20:08.723379+00:00	0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	NO	-8634.5428	3	-0.15801880000000001	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-10T22:20:08.492715+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	6116.356199999998	2	0.03	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-10T22:10:01.478435+00:00	0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	NO	-8634.5428	3	-0.13000001166000025	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-10T22:10:01.260258+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	6116.356199999998	2	0.05499999999999999	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T21:59:48.973261+00:00	0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	NO	-8634.5428	3	-0.13000001166000025	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-10T21:59:48.802337+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	6116.356199999998	2	0.05499999999999999	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T21:49:42.382590+00:00	0x2bef40a1f62d045527228e699990d1bd1f97906b2458a6f3e4a0daf11124060c	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	NO	-8634.5428	3	-0.11499999999999999	skip	distribution_with_price_already_down
2026-05-10T21:49:42.076658+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	6116.356199999998	2	0.06499999939333309	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T21:39:35.666399+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	6116.356199999998	2	0.05499999999999999	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T21:29:28.994989+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	6116.356199999998	2	0.05499999999999999	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T21:19:17.057793+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	7816.356199999998	2	0.05499999999999999	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T21:09:10.324254+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	7816.356199999998	2	0.05499999999999999	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T20:59:03.465761+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	7816.356199999998	2	0.065	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T20:48:56.490701+00:00	0x639c9cdc3cb2a21dc2d059d91d44c6eab5144a209f10e46211dc0b5ee7efd182	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	NO	-5097.599999	4	-0.014999999999999958	open	elite_flow_diverges_price
2026-05-10T20:48:56.122770+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	7816.356199999998	2	0.06500000000000003	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T20:38:48.637524+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	7816.356199999998	2	0.05500000000000002	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T20:28:40.751184+00:00	0xb24aa72235c46c88613dca167f2e324aeb03e73f556fda680bbbdb815a5c40d0	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	YES	7816.356199999998	2	0.06500000000000003	skip	accumulation_with_price_already_up
2026-05-10T20:18:33.532372+00:00	0x70d706fe084905dbafb95dfff13b727e4073efc3ef590adc8330562bac5d26de	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	NO	-5526.2925	2	-0.045	open	elite_flow_diverges_price