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Confluence Alpha

Signal: Cross-bot ≥2-source agreement on (market, direction) → bigger sizing
Open 0Closed 6Wins 3 / Losses 3Win rate 50%Realized P&L $24.27
(plus 9 bug-tagged off-universe trades worth $-54.99 hidden)

Closed (6 most recent — clean / bug-excluded)

market_titlesideentry_priceexit_pricepnlexit_time
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons yes0.7650.655-7.2366013071895382026-05-15T23:53:44.787435+00:00
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?no0.352500000000000040.3115-6.1594326241134712026-05-15T22:53:42.914282+00:00
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1460?yes0.920.945-0.53478260869564312026-05-14T16:12:32.064933+00:00
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?yes0.9150.9891.57027322404372432026-05-14T14:52:25.334317+00:00
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?yes0.14350.27333.775609756097582026-05-13T10:00:03.871263+00:00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?no0.219999999999999950.2452.8545454545454732026-05-12T20:38:33.061813+00:00